Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 7.459547 8.665000 9.964728 11.465672 13.146405 14.965635 17.078758
2025-11-30 5.780844 7.380666 9.235953 11.528549 14.266244 17.410969 21.275443
2025-12-07 4.758329 6.540734 8.726802 11.568507 15.124763 19.386238 24.832667
2025-12-14 4.071052 5.963094 8.396608 11.695976 15.985665 21.302902 28.311888
2025-12-21 3.505233 5.443750 8.047279 11.712420 16.640166 22.929709 31.441940
2025-12-28 3.157789 5.165363 7.965908 12.038403 17.672132 25.041523 35.235896
2026-01-04 2.838305 4.879336 7.830834 12.254893 18.537892 26.942598 38.801129
2026-01-11 2.522379 4.554955 7.599721 12.299236 19.142951 28.493314 41.932369
2026-01-18 2.158072 4.106810 7.136546 11.957402 19.160921 29.216522 43.940908
2026-01-25 1.865784 3.736870 6.752153 11.691022 19.251673 30.018829 46.058450
2026-02-01 1.607600 3.390284 6.367896 11.386190 19.251542 30.670474 47.962922
2026-02-08 1.394271 3.094206 6.034813 11.128973 19.294603 31.367185 49.933435
2026-02-15 1.186396 2.782172 5.647983 10.758788 19.145324 31.779943 51.520230
2026-02-22 1.072386 2.635511 5.532533 10.824994 19.678372 33.222191 54.655399
2026-03-01 0.967623 2.492528 5.408530 10.863150 20.160131 34.594365 57.718638
2026-03-08 0.885314 2.384721 5.337644 10.984247 20.775976 36.185532 61.149691
2026-03-15 0.799132 2.255906 5.213996 10.999870 21.211049 37.502312 64.193312
2026-03-22 0.754277 2.213943 5.253564 11.309600 22.150687 39.638464 68.548746
2026-03-29 0.702305 2.147918 5.238659 11.515340 22.916960 41.517213 72.549584
2026-04-05 0.639410 2.046051 5.141100 11.557486 23.396891 42.944302 75.875078
2026-04-12 0.551197 1.865843 4.862489 11.232630 23.210762 43.273193 77.464812
2026-04-19 0.479357 1.715159 4.630648 10.979541 23.134415 43.771243 79.326622
2026-04-26 0.413469 1.567953 4.390338 10.689985 22.972487 44.113017 80.935279